SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Arsenal |
18.4% ( 0.01) | 23.03% ( 0.21) | 58.57% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( -0.82) | 50.03% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -0.74) | 72.01% ( 0.74) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% ( -0.48) | 41.16% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.3% ( -0.43) | 77.7% ( 0.43) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( -0.36) | 16.78% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.27% ( -0.66) | 46.73% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.4% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 11% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.56% |
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