SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 78.76%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 6.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.85%) and 3-0 (12.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
78.76% ( 0.61) | 15.03% ( -0.24) | 6.21% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 35.18% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.43) | 46.43% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.41) | 68.71% ( 0.41) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.25% ( 0.04) | 9.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.55% ( 0.1) | 32.45% ( -0.1) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.98% ( -1.38) | 61.02% ( 1.38) |
