SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-0 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Arsenal |
19.41% ( 0.22) | 21.93% ( 0.54) | 58.65% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( -2.1) | 43.93% ( 2.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( -2.08) | 66.31% ( 2.09) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( -0.99) | 36.47% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.73% ( -1.01) | 73.26% ( 1.02) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.34% ( -0.93) | 14.65% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.21% ( -1.81) | 42.79% ( 1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.41% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 6.31% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 3.06% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.15)1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.13)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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