SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United |
45.97% ( -0.88) | 25.34% ( 0.12) | 28.69% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.41% ( -0.05) | 49.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( -0.04) | 71.62% ( 0.05) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( -0.41) | 21.58% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.33% ( -0.63) | 54.67% ( 0.64) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( 0.55) | 31.44% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.18% ( 0.63) | 67.82% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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