SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Manchester City | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Leeds United | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Barnsley | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 5 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Barnsley |
56.94% ( 1.6) | 22.77% ( -0.53) | 20.29% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( 0.89) | 46.37% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( 0.83) | 68.65% ( -0.83) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% ( 0.87) | 16.05% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.58% ( 1.57) | 45.42% ( -1.57) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( -0.58) | 36.97% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.24% ( -0.58) | 73.76% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.28% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 53 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 53 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 46 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 43 |
| 9 | Brentford | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 43 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 27 |
| 16 | Everton | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 27 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 27 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Southampton | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
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