SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Rotherham United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Middlesbrough | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 21 | Norwich City | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Plymouth Argyle | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Cambridge United | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Barnsley |
54.91% ( -0.58) | 24.38% ( 0.28) | 20.71% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 48.61% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( -0.75) | 52.4% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( -0.65) | 74.08% ( 0.65) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.5) | 18.99% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.46% ( -0.85) | 50.54% ( 0.85) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.11) | 39.99% ( 0.11) |
