MX23RW : Wednesday, August 10 19:21:49
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Wednesday, August 10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMiddlesbrough
41.21%28.1%30.68%
Both teams to score 46.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61%59.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22%79.77%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66%28.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93%64.07%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9%35.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15%71.84%
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 41.21%
    Middlesbrough 30.68%
    Draw 28.1%
BarnsleyDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 41.21%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 30.68%

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