SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Leeds United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Leicester City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | West Ham United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
47.25% ( 0.22) | 27.65% ( 0.33) | 25.1% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 44.45% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.65% ( -1.46) | 60.35% ( 1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.5% ( -1.12) | 80.5% ( 1.12) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( -0.55) | 25.64% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.47% ( -0.76) | 60.53% ( 0.76) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.78% ( -1.32) | 40.22% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.15% ( -1.22) | 76.85% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.07% Total : 47.25% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.34% Total : 25.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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