SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Southampton | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Liverpool | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Brentford | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Brentford |
46.41% ( 0.01) | 25.99% | 27.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.14% ( -0.01) | 52.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.52% ( -0) | 74.48% ( 0) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( 0) | 22.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.57% ( 0) | 56.43% ( -0) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( -0.01) | 33.99% ( 0.01) |
