SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Leeds United |
64.19% ( 0.04) | 19.33% ( -0.02) | 16.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.08) | 36.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.93% ( 0.09) | 59.06% ( -0.09) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.13% ( 0.03) | 10.87% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65% ( 0.07) | 35% ( -0.08) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( 0.03) | 35.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.7% ( 0.03) | 72.3% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 64.19% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.33% | 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Brentford | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 43 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 42 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 28 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 27 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 26 |
| 17 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 25 |
| 19 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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