MX23RW : Saturday, May 20 19:22:54
SM
Man City vs. Chelsea: 19 hrs 37 mins
NF
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 5.10pm UK
The City Ground
AL
Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Arsenal
Grabban (83')
Zinckernagel (35'), Spence (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinelli (74')

We said: Nottingham Forest 1-4 Arsenal

It remains to be seen what sort of XI Nottingham Forest will put out amid their COVID-19 cluster, but Arsenal's young guns should have no problem stamping their authority on the City Ground. Cooper's men have proven a tough nut to crack on their own turf, but Arsenal just seem to go up a gear in the FA Cup, and we expect them to return to winning ways in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawArsenal
20.73%22.98%56.29%
Both teams to score 52.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31%46.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05%68.95%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29%36.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.51%73.49%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61%16.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97%46.02%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 20.73%
    Arsenal 56.29%
    Draw 22.97%
Nottingham ForestDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 6.03%
2-1 @ 5.46%
2-0 @ 3.02%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.97%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-2 @ 9.84%
1-3 @ 5.95%
0-3 @ 5.93%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 2.69%
0-4 @ 2.68%
2-4 @ 1.35%
1-5 @ 0.97%
0-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.29%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal37256683434081
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd36216952411169
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea351110143641-543
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14Bournemouth37116203770-3339
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524
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