We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 Nottingham Forest
The visit of a Nottingham Forest side whose attacking struggles away from home are well-documented spells optimism for De Zerbi, who ought to be feeling confident about his chances of posting a first win as Seagulls boss at the fourth attempt.
Brighton were not without their opportunities at the Brentford Community Stadium - Raya was simply having a blinder on the day - and we are backing the Seagulls to dust themselves down and prolong the Tricky Trees' misery on the road with all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
64.06% ( 0) | 21.55% ( -0) | 14.38% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.05% ( -0) |
| 49.2% ( -0) | 50.8% ( 0) |
| 27.31% ( -0) | 72.69% ( 0) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
