SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
32.21% ( -0.33) | 25.64% ( -0.11) | 42.15% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( 0.38) | 49.35% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( 0.34) | 71.4% ( -0.33) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( -0.03) | 28.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.25% ( -0.03) | 64.74% ( 0.04) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( 0.38) | 23.26% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.81% ( 0.55) | 57.18% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.21% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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