SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
49.04% ( 0.33) | 26.32% ( -0.13) | 24.63% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.92% ( 0.32) | 56.07% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% ( 0.26) | 77.15% ( -0.27) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( 0.29) | 22.92% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.32% ( 0.42) | 56.68% ( -0.43) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0) | 38.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.99% ( -0) | 75% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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