We said: Leicester City 3-1 Nottingham Forest
If any game had the makings of a drab and dull 0-0, this is certainly not one of them, as Leicester's defensive shortcomings continue to cancel out their relatively successful attacking phases.
Forest have been leaking goals at an alarming rate themselves, and Leicester still possess a number of difference-makers capable of getting their side out of a sticky situation, and we can picture the Foxes finally getting on the board to relieve some of the pressure on Rodgers's shoulders.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result |
| Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
58.08% ( 0.01) | 23.42% | 18.51% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( 0) |
| 48.58% ( 0) | 51.42% ( -0) |
| 26.77% ( 0) | 73.23% ( -0) |
| 82.55% ( 0.01) | 17.45% ( -0) |
