SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 6 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 6 | 14 | 14 |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 7 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
14.7% ( 1.03) | 18.61% ( 0.88) | 66.69% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.83% ( -1.89) | 37.17% ( 1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.63% ( -2.07) | 59.37% ( 2.07) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( 0.19) | 37.96% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.27% ( 0.18) | 74.73% ( -0.18) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.68% ( -0.97) | 10.32% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.24% ( -2.24) | 33.76% ( 2.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.7% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.61% | 0-2 @ 10.1% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.13)0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.44)0-3 @ 7.65% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 7.41% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.34)1-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.25)1-5 @ 1.91% ( -0.23)2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.87% Total : 66.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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