SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 87.51%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 4.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 4-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Southampton |
87.51% ( 0.01) | 8.47% ( -0.01) | 4.02% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.36% ( 0.13) | 22.64% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.23% ( 0.18) | 41.77% ( -0.17) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.68% ( 0.03) | 3.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.38% ( 0.07) | 14.62% ( -0.07) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.13% ( 0.16) | 50.88% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.74% ( 0.11) | 85.26% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Southampton |
| 3-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0)2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 6.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.78% Total : 87.5% | 1-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 8.47% | 1-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.57% Total : 4.02% |
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