SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
71.74% ( 0.17) | 16.09% ( -0.13) | 12.17% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.09% ( 0.54) | 30.91% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.72% ( 0.64) | 52.28% ( -0.63) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.43% ( 0.17) | 7.57% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.89% ( 0.42) | 27.11% ( -0.42) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.59% ( 0.31) | 37.41% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.81% ( 0.3) | 74.19% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.74% | 1-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.09% | 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 12.17% |
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