SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 57.69%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
21.49% ( 0.02) | 20.82% ( 0.03) | 57.69% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.57% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.19% ( -0.11) | 35.81% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.11% ( -0.12) | 57.89% ( 0.13) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( -0.05) | 29.8% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( -0.06) | 65.87% ( 0.06) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.7% ( -0.04) | 12.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.93% ( -0.1) | 38.07% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 21.49% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.62% 2-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 57.69% |
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