MX23RW : Monday, December 26 12:26:57
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Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK at St Mary's Stadium
Southampton
1 - 1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')

We said: Southampton 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

There has not been a goalless stalemate between these two clubs for over 10 years, but it is extremely difficult to separate them on this occasion. The Saints have taken 10 points at home, while Brighton boast 10 on the road this term, and we can envisage defenders taking centre stage as both sides cancel each other out down south. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
41.06%27.68%31.26%
Both teams to score 47.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.28%57.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53%78.47%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37%27.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83%63.17%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55%70.45%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 41.05%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 31.26%
    Draw 27.68%
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.26%

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