Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
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