SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Southampton |
42.86% ( -0.34) | 27.06% ( 0.14) | 30.08% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.2% ( -0.47) | 55.8% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.07% ( -0.38) | 76.92% ( 0.38) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -0.39) | 25.77% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.52) | 60.72% ( 0.52) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( -0.1) | 33.64% ( 0.1) |
