SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
54.71% ( -0.02) | 24.01% ( 0.01) | 21.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( -0.03) | 50.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( -0.03) | 72.24% ( 0.03) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.02) | 18.27% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.67% ( -0.03) | 49.32% ( 0.03) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0) | 38.2% ( 0) |
