SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 78.38%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 8.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Southampton |
78.38% ( -0.05) | 12.87% ( 0.04) | 8.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.01% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.14% ( -0.16) | 24.86% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.26% ( -0.21) | 44.73% ( 0.21) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.95% ( -0.04) | 5.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.87% ( -0.12) | 20.13% ( 0.12) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.09% ( -0.11) | 38.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.36% ( -0.1) | 75.63% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.51% 4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 5.16% Total : 78.38% | 1-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.87% | 1-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 8.75% |
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