Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.57%).
