SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 78.72%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.55%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | West Ham United |
78.72% ( 1.78) | 12.78% ( -0.81) | 8.5% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.7% ( 0.83) | 25.3% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.69% ( 1.08) | 45.31% ( -1.07) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.91% ( 0.46) | 5.08% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.77% ( 1.35) | 20.23% ( -1.35) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% ( -1.3) | 39.78% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.55% ( -1.22) | 76.45% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 8.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.41)4-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.23)6-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.15)5-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)Other @ 5.91% Total : 78.72% | 1-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.22% Total : 12.78% | 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.91% Total : 8.5% |
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