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PL
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
LL

PSG
0 - 1
Liverpool

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lille
Saturday, March 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLiverpool
50.64% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.69% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)36.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.52% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)42.55% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 50.64%
    Liverpool 27.22%
    Draw 22.13%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.64%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lille
Saturday, March 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Stade Briochin 0-7 PSG
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 PSG
Sunday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 7-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Toulouse 0-1 PSG
Saturday, February 15 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-3 PSG
Tuesday, February 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 0-2 Liverpool
Sunday, February 23 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 2-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Liverpool
Sunday, February 9 at 3pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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