SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 85.09%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 4.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.66%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Leicester City |
85.09% ( 0.9) | 10% ( -0.41) | 4.91% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.4) | 26.52% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.12% ( -0.51) | 46.88% ( 0.51) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.7% ( 0.08) | 4.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.16% ( 0.23) | 17.84% ( -0.23) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.19% ( -2.08) | 50.81% ( 2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.79% ( -1.45) | 85.21% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Leicester City |
| 3-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.18)1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.28)5-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.16)6-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.48% Total : 85.08% | 1-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.67% Total : 10% | 1-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.86% Total : 4.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
