SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Brentford |
| 37.92% | 24.82% ( 0.01) | 37.27% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( -0.02) | 44.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( -0.02) | 67.15% ( 0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.01) | 23.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( -0.01) | 57.37% ( 0.01) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( -0.01) | 23.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( -0.02) | 57.86% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.27% |
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