SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Copenhagen | Draw | Chelsea |
41.22% ( 0.07) | 23.34% ( 0.03) | 35.44% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.73% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.17) | 37.83% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( -0.18) | 60.08% ( 0.17) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( -0.04) | 18.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.79% ( -0.06) | 50.21% ( 0.05) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( -0.13) | 21.52% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.42% ( -0.2) | 54.58% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Copenhagen | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.44% |
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