SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Leicester City |
48.5% ( -1.44) | 24.24% ( 0.6) | 27.25% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 56.31% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -2.08) | 45.76% ( 2.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( -2) | 68.08% ( 2) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( -1.36) | 18.95% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.52% ( -2.31) | 50.47% ( 2.31) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( -0.46) | 30.52% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.25% ( -0.55) | 66.74% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.25% |
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