SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
61.03% ( -2.18) | 21.29% ( 0.73) | 17.69% ( 1.45) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( -0.69) | 43.78% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( -0.68) | 66.17% ( 0.68) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( -0.87) | 13.86% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.74% ( -1.74) | 41.26% ( 1.74) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( 1.34) | 38.3% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.94% ( 1.27) | 75.06% ( -1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.92% Total : 61.02% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.28% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.24% Total : 17.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Bromley | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 48 |
| 3 | Barnet | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 38 |
| 5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 36 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 35 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 34 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 33 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 27 |
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 25 |
| 17 | Woking | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 25 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 25 |
| 20 | York City | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 23 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 18 |
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