SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 13.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
69.25% ( 0.55) | 17.42% ( -0.07) | 13.32% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.37% ( -0.89) | 34.62% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.43% ( -1) | 56.57% ( 1) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.97% ( -0.11) | 9.03% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.25% ( -0.26) | 30.74% ( 0.26) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.78% ( -1.28) | 38.22% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.02% ( -1.25) | 74.98% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 8% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.8% Total : 69.25% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.42% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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