SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
46.79% ( 1.16) | 23.46% ( -0.2) | 29.74% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 60.82% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( 0.44) | 40.62% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( 0.45) | 63% ( -0.45) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( 0.63) | 17.63% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.76% ( 1.09) | 48.23% ( -1.09) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -0.39) | 26.15% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.77% ( -0.52) | 61.23% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.86% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Bromley | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Rochdale | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 16 |
| 20 | York City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 14 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 10 |
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