SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.5%) and 3-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
52.14% ( 0.02) | 21.29% ( -0) | 26.57% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.24% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.57% ( -0.01) | 32.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.94% ( -0.02) | 54.06% ( 0.02) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.2% ( 0) | 12.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.9% ( 0) | 39.1% ( -0.01) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( -0.03) | 24.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.69% ( -0.03) | 58.31% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 52.14% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 45 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 115 | 42 | 73 | 110 |
| 2 | Notts County | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 116 | 41 | 75 | 106 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 45 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 77 | 52 | 25 | 81 |
| 4 | Woking | 44 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 79 |
| 5 | Barnet | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 74 |
| 6 | Bromley | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 70 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 66 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 60 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 60 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 58 |
| 13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 57 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 57 |
| 15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 90 | -25 | 54 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 53 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 47 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 45 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 45 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 100 | -55 | 25 |
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