SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
24.65% ( 0.08) | 22.05% ( 0.04) | 53.3% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.36% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.05% ( -0.09) | 37.95% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.79% ( -0.09) | 60.21% ( 0.09) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.02) | 28.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.89% ( 0.02) | 64.11% ( -0.02) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( -0.07) | 14.34% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.81% ( -0.13) | 42.19% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 24.65% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| 2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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