SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Solihull Moors |
48.8% ( 0.04) | 25.32% ( -0.01) | 25.88% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.67% ( 0.03) | 51.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( 0.03) | 73.15% ( -0.03) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( 0.03) | 21.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.14% ( 0.04) | 53.85% ( -0.04) |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% | 34.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.71% | 71.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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