SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
27.41% ( -0.08) | 24.34% ( -0.08) | 48.24% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0.28) | 46.12% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( 0.26) | 68.42% ( -0.26) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( 0.08) | 30.59% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.17% ( 0.1) | 66.83% ( -0.1) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( 0.17) | 19.2% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.12% ( 0.29) | 50.88% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 27.41% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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