SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Oxford City |
56.5% ( 0.38) | 22.7% ( -0.14) | 20.79% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( 0.29) | 45.41% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.26% ( 0.27) | 67.74% ( -0.28) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( 0.23) | 15.86% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.93% ( 0.42) | 45.07% ( -0.43) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% ( -0.08) | 35.91% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.31% ( -0.08) | 72.69% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
