SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Rochdale |
31.7% ( -0.71) | 26.18% ( -0.25) | 42.13% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 52.64% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.23% ( 0.83) | 51.77% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.46% ( 0.72) | 73.54% ( -0.71) |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( -0.06) | 30.43% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.37% ( -0.07) | 66.63% ( 0.08) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( 0.87) | 24.34% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.26% ( 1.21) | 58.74% ( -1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.7% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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