SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
39.98% ( 0.07) | 24.01% ( 0.02) | 36.01% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% ( -0.09) | 41.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% ( -0.09) | 63.43% ( 0.09) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -0.01) | 20.72% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.67% ( -0.01) | 53.33% ( 0) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.09) | 22.69% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( -0.13) | 56.34% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.01% |
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