SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
37.58% ( 4.55) | 25.17% ( -0.87) | 37.25% ( -3.68) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( 3.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( 4.39) | 46.43% ( -4.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 4) | 68.71% ( -3.99) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( 4.76) | 24.3% ( -4.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.32% ( 6.3) | 58.68% ( -6.3) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( 0.04) | 24.48% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.07% ( 0.06) | 58.93% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.73)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.8)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.57)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.57)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.42)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.3)Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -1.18)2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.52)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.27)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -1.64) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -1.15)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.54)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Bromley | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Rochdale | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 16 |
| 20 | York City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 14 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 10 |
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