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National League | Gameweek 10
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gateshead International Stadium
Gateshead
3 - 0
Kidderminster
Dinanga (6'), Olley (21'), Booty (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Maguire (45+4'), Maguire (46')
Coverage of the National League clash between Gateshead and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Solihull
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
GatesheadDrawKidderminster Harriers
48.65% (0.058 0.06) 24.04% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 27.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 57% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (0.252 0.25)44.86% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (0.241 0.24)67.22% (-0.245 -0.25)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.121 0.12)18.54% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.204 0.2)49.79% (-0.207 -0.21)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.127 0.13)30.02% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.154 0.15)66.14% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Gateshead 48.65%
    Kidderminster Harriers 27.31%
    Draw 24.03%
GatesheadDrawKidderminster Harriers
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.65%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 27.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 0-6 Gateshead
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 2-2 Oldham
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 0-0 Gateshead
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-3 Woking
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 4-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Solihull
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Rochdale
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 Maidenhead
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 Bromley
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chesterfield15122136211538
2Barnet16122235211438
3Solihull MoorsSolihull168622518730
4Bromley168532517829
5AltrinchamAltrincham157622820827
6Gateshead1574434191525
7Halifax TownHalifax166641815324
8Aldershot TownAldershot167362728-124
9Eastleigh166552527-223
10Oldham AthleticOldham165742422222
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool167182629-322
12Rochdale165562625120
13Woking165471919019
14Dorking WanderersDorking155371721-418
15Southend UnitedSouthend1683530171317
16WealdstoneWealdstone164571723-617
17Ebbsfleet165292330-717
18Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red164481621-516
19Boreham WoodBoreham Wood163761623-716
20York City163672432-815
21Oxford CityOxford City163582331-814
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead162771323-1013
23Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster163491020-1013
24Fylde1624102136-1510
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