SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Halifax Town |
43.88% ( -0.07) | 25.37% ( 0) | 30.75% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( 0.02) | 48.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.15% ( 0.02) | 70.85% ( -0.02) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( -0.02) | 22.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.43% ( -0.04) | 55.57% ( 0.04) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0.06) | 29.55% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.43% ( 0.07) | 65.57% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 11 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 21 |
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 15 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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