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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fuling Stadium
HT
Ebbsfleet
2 - 1
Halifax
Edser (13'), Bingham (52')
Edser (68'), O'Neill (79'), Tanner (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cooke (17')
Senior (44'), Johnson (53')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Ebbsfleet and Halifax Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Oldham
Saturday, October 29 at 5.20pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawHalifax Town
41.45% (0.225 0.23) 24.94% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 33.61% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.42% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (0.14 0.14)45.86% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (0.133 0.13)68.18% (-0.129 -0.13)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (0.16900000000001 0.17)22.09% (-0.165 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (0.253 0.25)55.45% (-0.249 -0.25)
Halifax Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)26.3% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58% (-0.058 -0.06)61.42% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 41.45%
    Halifax Town 33.61%
    Draw 24.93%
EbbsfleetDrawHalifax Town
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.45%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.61%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-1 St Albans City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 5-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Oldham
Saturday, October 29 at 5.20pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Halifax
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 2-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Halifax
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 1-0 York City
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 0-4 Woking
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League
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17Luton TownLuton8116615-94
18Burnley8116720-134
19Bournemouth8035518-133
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd8017622-161
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