SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Halifax Town |
60.87% ( -0.03) | 20.39% ( 0.02) | 18.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.11% ( -0.12) | 37.88% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.86% ( -0.13) | 60.14% ( 0.13) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.94% ( -0.05) | 12.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.44% ( -0.1) | 37.56% ( 0.1) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( -0.06) | 33.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.71% ( -0.07) | 70.28% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.39% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 42 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 106 | 36 | 70 | 100 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 41 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 106 | 39 | 67 | 100 |
| 3 | Woking | 41 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 75 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 72 |
| 5 | Barnet | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 68 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 41 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Bromley | 41 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 62 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 41 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 59 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 53 |
| 14 | York City | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 49 |
| 17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 59 | 86 | -27 | 46 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 41 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 44 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 69 | -21 | 40 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 41 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 39 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 42 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 46 | 78 | -32 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 42 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 24 |
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