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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 78.09%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.2%) and 1-0 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Welling United |
78.09% ( -1.23) | 14.43% ( 0.8) | 7.47% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 44% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( -2.27) | 38.52% ( 2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.18% ( -2.45) | 60.81% ( 2.45) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.99% ( -0.77) | 8.01% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.76% ( -1.99) | 28.24% ( 1.99) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.83% ( -0.45) | 52.17% ( 0.45) |
