SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 7 | 13 | 21 |
| 2 | Havant & Waterlooville | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Chelmsford City | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Worthing | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Braintree Town | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Welling United | 7 | 5 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Braintree Town |
65.22% ( -0.13) | 20.04% ( 0.01) | 14.74% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( 0.24) | 43.71% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( 0.23) | 66.1% ( -0.23) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% ( 0.04) | 12.61% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.29% ( 0.07) | 38.71% ( -0.07) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58% ( 0.33) | 42% ( -0.33) |
