Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
0.26) 
-0.33) 
