Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
